| Below are a few tables that show how the dice probability is determined | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Strat-o-matic cards use 3 6 sided dice rolls to determine an At Bat | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 die to determine which card and column to use (roll 1,2,3 = hitter / roll 4,5,6=pitcher) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| the other two dice give you which result to read in the column. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Below is an example of how to determine the batting average for a player card. Batting average = Number of hits (divided by) Number of At Bats In the case of a strat-o-matic card the Number of At Bats is equivalent to the number of "chances" or combinations to reach base. I would like to note that all this determines is the Batting Average for the player IF the result is on his card. It does not take into effect the pitcher he is facing. But it is a helpful comparison when comparing hitters to hitters. We will start by computing the Batting Average versus Righthanded Pitchers. A hit is a single, double, triple, or homerun (or any combination, example: HR 1-9, DO 10-20 is counted as only 1 hit). We want to count the number of chances for hits. Look at the righthand table at the top of the page. Notice the number of combinations or "chances" per total. If a hit falls on a 7 then that hit is worth 6 chances. If a hit falls on an 8 or a 6 then that hit is worth 5 chances, if a hit falls on a 9 or a 5 then that hit is worth 4 chances. See the pattern? Ok, count all of the hits from Hatteberg's card. Do not count a hit that is not a "full" hit (example: SI* 1-7, lineout 8-20) I will discuss these next. Also, do not count the hits that are preceded by a < or a #, these are ballpark effect results (you may add them if you like). Hits preceded by & are clutch results, you can count them as hits. The total raw hits = 23. Now we need to calculate partial hits. Hatteberg has 2 partial hits: Total raw hits = 25.45 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Simple? Yes! Tedious? oh yeah! But useful. If you purchase the statistics disk from Strat-o-matic it would have all of this computed for you for many different statistics (AVG, OBP, SLG, Total Bases, strike out chances, homerun chances, etc) for every player in the set. Now that you know how to do this, you may also compute:
http://www.baseball-almanac.com/stats.shtml If you have any questions, comments, suggestions, please feel free to drop me a line! | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||